Study of Efficacy and Safety of Ivermectin for COVID-19 Prophylaxis in Post-exposure Contact or Epidemiological Link

Descripción detallada

This is a randomized, double-blind, and controlled clinical trial that aims to evaluate the use of oral ivermectin in COVID-19 prophylaxis. The study has two arms in a relationship of 2:1: Experimental Group (EG n=500) and Placebo Group (CG n=250). The sample size was calculated by applying a two-proportion comparison test. Type of two-sided test, 95% confidence or safety level (1-α), 95% statistical power, 75% P1 (proportion in the placebo group), 65% P2 (proportion in the new treatment or intervention group), size sample without adjustment (n = 543), 25% expected proportion of losses, n= 724 sample adjusted for losses. The hypothesis of the study is that treatment with ivermectin may decrease the chance of occurrence/progress of clinical manifestations and onset of severe disease. Whereas control of the contagion on the first days of development of the disease, this treatment with ivermectin in suspected cases of COVID-19 (by epidemiological nexus) would contribute to the control of contagion at the first part of the infection, even in the absence of symptoms. Categorical variables will be represented with frequencies and proportions, while continuous quantitative variables will be expressed as mean ± standard deviation (SD) or as median and interquartile range (IQR). The proportions will be compared using Pearson's Chi-square test or Fisher's exact test as appropriate, and continuous quantitative variables with Student's t test. The estimation of the efficacy of intensive treatment with Ivermectin will be calculated using Kaplan-Meier curves and the differences will be analyzed by means of the log-rank test. The risk will be calculated as a ratio of advantages for Intensive treatment with Ivermectin (Odds Ratio, OR) with its 95% confidence intervals (95% CI). A value of p \<0.05 will be considered significant. Analyzes will be performed using Stata 11.2 software.